Model Thinking

开始时间: 04/22/2022 持续时间: Unknown

所在平台: CourseraArchive

课程类别: 计算机科学

大学或机构: CourseraNew

课程主页: https://www.coursera.org/archive/model-thinking

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课程详情

We live in a complex world with diverse people, firms, and governments whose behaviors aggregate to produce novel, unexpected phenomena. We see political uprisings, market crashes, and a never ending array of social trends. How do we make sense of it? Models. Evidence shows that people who think with models consistently outperform those who don't. And, moreover people who think with lots of models outperform people who use only one. Why do models make us better thinkers? Models help us to better organize information - to make sense of that fire hose or hairball of data (choose your metaphor) available on the Internet. Models improve our abilities to make accurate forecasts. They help us make better decisions and adopt more effective strategies. They even can improve our ability to design institutions and procedures. In this class, I present a starter kit of models: I start with models of tipping points. I move on to cover models explain the wisdom of crowds, models that show why some countries are rich and some are poor, and models that help unpack the strategic decisions of firm and politicians. The models covered in this class provide a foundation for future social science classes, whether they be in economics, political science, business, or sociology. Mastering this material will give you a huge leg up in advanced courses. They also help you in life. Here's how the course will work. For each model, I present a short, easily digestible overview lecture. Then, I'll dig deeper. I'll go into the technical details of the model. Those technical lectures won't require calculus but be prepared for some algebra. For all the lectures, I'll offer some questions and we'll have quizzes and even a final exam. If you decide to do the deep dive, and take all the quizzes and the exam, you'll receive a Course Certificate. If you just decide to follow along for the introductory lectures to gain some exposure that's fine too. It's all free. And it's all here to help make you a better thinker!

思维模式:我们生活在一个复杂的世界中,这里有各种各样的人,公司和政府,他们的行为加在一起会产生新的,出乎意料的现象。我们看到政治起义,市场崩溃以及一系列永无止境的社会趋势。我们如何理解它?楷模。证据表明,始终以模型进行思考的人要胜过没有模型的人。而且,使用很多模型进行思考的人要优于只使用一种模型的人。为什么模型使我们成为更好的思想家?模型可以帮助我们更好地组织信息-充分利用互联网上可用的消防水带或数据(选择您的隐喻)。模型提高了我们进行准确预测的能力。它们帮助我们做出更好的决策并采取更有效的策略。他们甚至可以提高我们设计机构和程序的能力。在本节课中,我将介绍一个模型入门套件:我从临界点模型开始。我将继续介绍一些模型,这些模型解释了人群的智慧,这些模型表明了为什么一些国家富裕而一些贫穷,以及有助于解开企业和政治家的战略决策的模型。 该课程涵盖的模型为未来的社会科学课程奠定了基础,无论它们是经济学,政治学,商业还是社会学。掌握这些材料将使您在进阶课程方面大有作为。他们也帮助您的生活。这是本课程的工作方式。对于每种模型,我都会提供一个简短易懂的概述讲座。然后,我会更深入地探讨。我将介绍该模型的技术细节。这些技术讲座不需要微积分,但可以为一些代数做准备。对于所有讲座,我将提出一些问题,我们将进行测验甚至是期末考试。如果您决定进行深潜,并参加所有测验和考试,您将获得课程证书。如果您只是决定按照入门课程的要求进行一些接触,那也不错。全部免费。这一切都是为了帮助您成为一个更好的思想家!

课程大纲

In these lectures, I describe some of the reasons why a person would want to take a modeling course. These reasons fall into four broad categories: 1)To be an intelligent citizen of the world 2) To be a clearer thinker 3) To understand and use data 4) To better decide, strategize, and design. There are two readings for this section. These should be read either after the first video or at the completion of all of the videos.We now jump directly into some models. We contrast two types of models that explain a single phenomenon, namely that people tend to live and interact with people who look, think, and act like themselves. After an introductory lecture, we cover famous models by Schelling and Granovetter that cover these phenomena. We follows those with a fun model about standing ovations that I wrote with my friend John Miller.

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课程简介

模型思维是Coursera上的老牌课程,评价非常不错,感兴趣的同学可以关注。We live in a complex world with diverse people, firms, and governments whose behaviors aggregate to

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