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所在平台: Udemy |
课程主页: https://www.udemy.com/course/quantitative-project-risk-register/
课程评论：没有评论
本课程“量化项目风险登记册”旨在深入介绍项目风险管理，重点在于从传统的定性方法转向更精确的量化分析。 课程首先会剖析传统的定性风险登记册和风险矩阵，揭示其在频率和严重性评估方面的固有弱点和缺陷。随后，课程将有力论证为何量化风险分析是应对项目风险的更优选择，并重点讲解如何在@RISK软件中运用蒙特卡洛模拟来构建强大的项目风险登记册。 在课程的各个环节，学员将系统地学习如何建立一个能够进行概率性应急措施制定的风险登记册。内容将涵盖： * **概率分布的引入**：如何为风险的频率和严重性选择合适的概率分布。 * **模拟技术**：掌握蒙特卡洛模拟的核心应用。 * **相关性分析**：理解和处理风险之间的相互影响。 * **场景分析**：通过设定不同场景来评估风险的影响。 * **风险缓解策略优化**：学习如何通过量化分析来优化风险应对措施。 最终，课程将通过对比分析，清晰地展示量化风险分析（借助模拟）相对于定性方法的显著优势，帮助学员构建出更具科学性和实操性的项目风险管理体系。
This course starts by explaining traditional qualitative risk registers and risk matrices. We explain why this methodology of listing risks for a project or company is full of weaknesses and flaws, in its attempt to use frequency and severity components to build a risk analysis. By comparison, we will carefully build a case for quantitative risk analysis for a project, using an @RISK's Monte Carlo simulation approach. Along the many lessons, we carefully add all the components on how to build a robust risk register, able to build probabilistic contingencies on a project. We add proper distributions for dealing with frequency and severity, simulation techniques, correlation, scenario analysis, and optimization of mitigation strategies. At the end, we compare qualitative and quantitative risk analysis powered by simulation.
