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所在平台: Udemy |
课程主页: https://www.udemy.com/course/probability-statistics-mistakes-misconceptions-lessons/
课程评论：没有评论
课程名称：决策与概率与统计，做对了！ 概述：我们在许多判断和决策中都有意识或无意识地使用概率和统计。然而，我们往往并不意识到使用这些概念做决策时，容易出现的各种错误。这些错误包括常见的误解、概率和风险的错误判断、抽样和统计的错误结论等。人类的大脑并不是天生能够直观理解概率或统计的。研究表明，数学真理在我们的大脑中并不会自动产生明显的意义，尤其是在考虑随机和非随机结果或大量数据时。因此，我们在评估风险和可能性时，往往会自动和无意识地犯很多错误。这个课程将帮助您了解并尽量避免和减少这些错误和误解，以实现高质量的数据驱动的商业决策。该课程适合所有人，但尤其对领导者和管理者有帮助，因为他们的判断和决策可能影响到许多人、组织和国家。课程为初学者水平，仅要求具有基础的高中概率和统计知识。免责声明：在这里，您不会学习任何基础的概率或统计知识，而是学习在决策过程中常见的误错和误解。部分图片和视频来源于Pixabay、Pexels、Pressfoto和FreePik，部分音乐片段来源于Bensound。
We all use Probability and Statistics, knowingly, or unknowingly, in a lot of our Judgements and Decisions!However, what we may not be aware of, are the many many ways we can go wrong, in using these concepts, from Probability and Statistics, for making our decisions! This includes the common errors , the many misconceptions we have, the conclusions we wrongly jump to, in judging probabilities, and risks, sampling and statistics.The Human brain is not wired to intuitively understand probability or statistics. Researchers of the brain, believe that mathematical truths make little automatic sense to our mind, especially when considering random and non-random outcomes, or when considering a large amount of data. And because of that, we automatically and subconsciously end up making a lot of mistakes, in assessing risks and likelihood.This Course will help you learn about, and try to avoid and minimize, such mistakes and misconceptions. For good quality, Data driven Business Decision Making. It will be useful for everyone, but especially for Leaders and Managers, whose various judgements and decisions can affect many people, organizations and countries!It is a Beginner level Course, and it assumes only a basic High school level knowledge of Probability and Statistics. Disclaimer: You will not learn any foundational Probability or Statistics here, you will only learn about the mistakes and misconceptions commonly made, when using Probability and Statistics in Decision Making.Some Images and Videos courtesy Pixabay, Pexels, Pressfoto and FreePik. Some Music snippets courtesy Bensound.
