Monte Carlo simulations using spreadsheets

所在平台: Udemy

课程主页: https://www.udemy.com/course/monte-carlo-simulations-using-spreadsheets/

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**课程名称:** 使用电子表格进行蒙特卡洛模拟 **课程概述:** 本“使用电子表格进行蒙特卡洛模拟”课程将带您领略蒙特卡洛模拟的强大魅力。蒙特卡洛模拟以赌博之都命名,其核心思想是通过模拟一个更大的概率系统中独立的随机事件,从而获得关于整个系统行为的统计趋势。这种方法尤其适用于日益复杂、难以通过确定性方法分析的工程系统和商业模型。 课程将深入浅出地讲解构建您自己蒙特卡洛模拟所需的基本概念,包括如何理解和利用复杂系统的组件行为及其相互关系。您将学会交付关键结果,并通过置信区间深入洞察系统的潜在行为。 **适用人群:** 本课程面向所有希望掌握这项宝贵技能的学员,**无需任何先验知识**。您只需要具备电子表格(Microsoft Excel 或 Google Sheets)的基础知识,以及一些基本的算术和代数知识即可。 **核心价值:** * 掌握蒙特卡洛模拟的基本原理。 * 学习如何使用电子表格构建蒙特卡洛模拟。 * 理解并分析复杂系统的潜在行为。 * 利用置信区间获得有意义的见解。 * 为您的技能库增添一项强大的分析工具。

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Monte Carlo simulations, named after the world capital of gambling, consist on simulating individual random events belonging to a greater probabilistic system to acquire statistical trends as to how the whole system behaves based on the behaviour of its components and the relation that these components have with one another.More and more, the complexity of engineering systems and business models grow in size and complexity, making it incrisingly harder to analyze via deterministic methods. Monte Carlo simulations come into play to offer a robust and rigorous methodology to understand large and complex systems that would be, otherwise, simple impossible.During this course, we are going to learn the very basic concepts that we need in order to build our own Monte Carlo simulations for any system. Furthermore, we will be able to deliver key results that will let us get insights on to the systems likely behaviour via the confidence intervals.This course is intended to any person who wishes to add this valuable skill to their toolbet with no previous experience or knowledge whatsoever. You will only need to know the very basics of spreadsheets (either Microsoft Excel or Google Sheets) and some basic arithmetic and algebraic knowledge.

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