|
所在平台: Udemy |
课程主页: https://www.udemy.com/course/meterology-401-hurricane-tracking-workshop/
课程评论:没有评论
Coursera 气象学 401:飓风追踪研讨班 课程大纲 本课程旨在介绍飓风地图阅读和追踪的基础知识。我们将探讨 GFS、EURO 和 Consensus 9(30个模型组成的最佳平均值)等知名超级计算机模型,这些模型在当地气象预报中经常被提及。 课程内容包括: * **飓风形成条件:** 定义飓风形成所需的关键条件。 * **地图符号解读:** 学习解读美国国家飓风中心提供的地图和数据中的标志与符号。 * **模型概述:** **(注意:本课程并非旨在揭示最佳模型,而是提供一个广泛的概述。)** 讨论多种模型,重点关注如何分析未来 3-5 天的飓风路径,以及著名的“不确定性锥”。 * **“不确定性锥”的理解:** 强调飓风的危害可能发生在“不确定性锥”之外,并且“锥”仅表示风暴中心路径,陆地登陆点的重要性不如带来的影响。 aprenderàs dónde buscar señales y cómo interpretarlas a un nivel básico. * **其他重要因素:** **(简要讨论)** 水汽图像、引导气流(例如持久的百慕大高压或美国南部此时发生的喷流低谷)。 本课程鼓励学员享受学习过程,并能将所学知识应用于日常讨论和飓风规划中。请注意,虽然飓风预测并非精确科学,但与 20 世纪 60 年代刚刚开始使用雷达和侦察机的时期相比,其精度已大大提高。
This course is designed to give you an introduction to the basics of reading and tracking a hurricane on a map. It will include learning about some of the well known supercomputer models like the GFS, EURO, and the consensus blend of models 9 which is an best avg of 30 models combined basically)that you would hear about on your local weather broadcast. We will first define the prime conditions needed for a hurricane and show you how to read the signs and symbols used on maps and data provided by the National Hurricane Center. Other models are discussed in passing and this is not intended to show you the best model but give you a broad overview of what the look for when reading hurricane analysis 3-5 days out in the infamous "cone of uncertainty". As always hazards with hurricanes can occur outside of the cone and also it should be noted that the cone shows the center track of the storm and that landfall location is not as important as impacts. However, knowing where to look for signs and how to read them at a base level is important. We will also discuss briefly water vapor images, steering currents such as the persistent Bermuda High or dips in the jet stream towards the south of the US that happen around this time of year in America etc.You should enjoy this course and use the websites in your everyday discussion and hurricane planning. It is not an exact science but its getting so much better than in the 1960's when RADAR and recon planes where just starting to get going with the weather.