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所在平台: Udemy |
课程主页: https://www.udemy.com/course/fundamental-analysis-of-stocks-h/
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课程名称:股票的基本面分析 课程概述:基本面分析是通过内在因素来评估公司的价值,而非其当前价格或市场趋势。这种方法超越了投资者情绪和公司营销,旨在判断股票价格是被高估还是低估。基本面分析结合了外部事件和影响、财务报表以及行业趋势,以帮助评估股票的内在价值。值得注意的是,股票的内在价值/公平价值并不会每天变化。要理解什么是公平价值,你需要借助基本面数据,这些数据是推动价格波动的关键。 基本面分析使用三类数据:第一,历史数据以了解过去的情况;第二,关于公司的公众已知信息,包括管理层发布的公告和外界对公司的看法;第三,是一些未公开但有价值的信息,例如管理层如何应对危机等情况。 通过一个简单的例子来说明这个过程:在市场上买香蕉时,你支付你认为合适的价格。如果水果商要求你支付50卢比买一根香蕉,这个价格合理吗?同样,如果香蕉只要0.5卢比又合理吗?你知道一打香蕉的价格应该在40-50卢比之间,所以每根香蕉的成本约为4卢比。因此,如果香蕉的价格过高或过低,必然有合理的原因。同样,在购买股票(如Infosys)时,你知道当前市场价为780卢比。这一价格只是市场价,意味着某个卖家愿以此价格出售Infosys的股票。 作为长期投资者,你的任务是以低于内在价值的价格购买股票。因此,如果Infosys的真实价值为900卢比,以780卢比买入是合理的;反之,如果Infosys的真实价值为700卢比,以780卢比购入对你来说就是不划算的。
Fundamental analysis looks at intrinsic factors to determine a company's value, as opposed to its current price or market trends. This approach looks beyond investor sentiment and company marketing to determine if the stock price is over- or undervalued. Fundamental analysis is a method of evaluating the intrinsic value of a stock. This form of analysis combines external events and influences, as well as financial statements and industry trends. Remember the intrinsic value/fair value of a stock does not change everyday. To understand what is that fair value, you should take the help of fundamentals, which are what drives prices up and down.Fundamental analysis uses three sets of data. One, historical data is used to know things were earlier. Two, publicly known information about the company including announcements made by the management, and what others are saying about the company. Three, information that is not known publicly but is useful i.e. instances of how management handles crises, situations etc. When you buy a banana from the market, you pay a price that you think is right. If a fruit seller asks you to pay Rs 50 for a banana is that right? In the same way, if a banana is available for 50 paise is that right? You know that one dozen of bananas should cost Rs 40-50. So, per banana cost is about Rs 4. So, if the banana is available at a steep discount or steep premium, there must be valid reasons why the asking price is such. When you go to buy a stock, for example Infosys, you know the current market price is Rs 780 per share. This price is only the market price i.e. some seller must be asking for this rate to sell the Infosys stock.Your job as a long term investor is to buy the stock at a far lower price than the intrinsic value. So, if the true value of Infosys stock is Rs 900, buying it for Rs 780 is logical. On the other hand, if the true value of Infosys stock is Rs 700, buying it at Rs 780 is not a good deal for you.