Probability for Risk Management and Optimization

所在平台: Udemy

课程主页: https://www.udemy.com/course/a-quick-bite-in-probability/

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课程简介

课程名称:风险管理与优化的概率 概述:概率是不确定性的度量,我们在各个领域都需要应对它。管理风险和优化系统性能是每位专业人士面临的主要挑战之一。本课程讨论了概率及其敏感性,以帮助进行风险管理。课程还涉及建模,以获得排队优化的重要见解。课程中提供了多个以应用为导向的练习题及其解决方案。课程从基础概率概念开始,以第一性原理为重点,帮助建立排列、组合和计数的理解。它还讨论了一些最常见的概率分布,以期向应用概念迈进。学员应能够在这些概念上进行创新,以满足特殊需求。课程还探讨了与概率相关的一些重要概念,尤其是学员通常容易出错的地方,例如连续变量的概率和不等可能结果的情况。本课程不同于传统的概率课程,主要讲解各种概率法则和公式,而是着重让学员理解概率概念的细微差别,从而更舒适地应用这些概念,避免一些严重的错误。

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课程详情

Probability is a measure of uncertainty and we have to deal with it everywhere. Managing risk and optimizing system performance in uncertain situations are some of the major challenges faced by every professionals. This course discusses about probability and it's sensitivity to help in risk management. It also gets into some kind of modelling to gain important insight into queue optimization. There are several application oriented practice questions with solutions in this course.This course starts with basic probability concepts and focusses on first principles to build understanding about permutation, combination and counting. It discusses about some of the most popular probability distributions with an objective of moving towards application of the concepts. One should be able to improvise on these concepts to take care of special needs. It works on some of the important concepts related to probability where students generally go wrong such as probability with continuous variables and not equally likely outcomes. This course is not a conventional probability course discussing about various laws of probability and formulas to calculate probability values. But, it tries to make you understand the nuances of probability concepts so that you can become more comfortable in applying them and avoiding some of the serious mistakes.

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