Country Level Economics: Policies, Institutions, and Macroeconomic Performance

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课程主页: https://www.coursera.org/archive/macroeconomic-factors

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课程简介

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

课程大纲

What determines the GDP? In the previous course on Macroeconomic Variables and Markets, we saw how the exchange rate and the interest rate are determined given the real income, aggregate price level, and expectations about the future. This module focuses on GDP determination in the short run, which is a critical step in understanding macroeconomic fluctuations and the role of stabilization policies. Long-run trends, expectations, and price level movements will be examined in subsequent modules.

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This course examines macroeconomic performance in the short run and the long run based on the economy’s institutional and policy environment. The first module develops a model of macroeconomy in the short run when the price level has its own momentum and does not respond much to supply and demand forces. The model enables one to see how GDP, interest rate, and exchange rate are determined in the short run and how they respond to macroeconomic shocks and policies. The second module starts the analysis of long-run equilibrium by examining the foreign exchange market. It then connects the long-run outcome with expectations about the future trends in the exchange rate at each moment, which constitute a key driver of the spot exchange rate in the short run. The methodology developed for this purpose can be applied to expectations concerning other macroeconomic variables as well. Finally, the long-run foreign exchange model is employed to derive a number of important lessons for the long run trends in currency values and competitiveness of producers in various countries. The third module examines the drivers of aggregate output in the long run and the mechanisms of adjustment from the short run to the long run. The model provides insights about why some countries are much richer than others and why some economies grow faster than others over decades. The analysis also sheds light on why inflation varies across countries or over time in the same country. The model is employed to analyze the sources of macroeconomic instability and the roles of fiscal and monetary policies in stabilization or destabilization of the macroeconomy. The final module discusses the characteristics of desirable macroeconomic policies and the reasons why actual policies deviate from them. It connects these deviations to country characteristics that one needs to take into account when assessing a country’s long-term macroeconomic environment. The module ends with a discussion of the institutional conditions that help bring about better fiscal and monetary policies. At the end of this course, you will be able to: • Understand how the market for aggregate goods and services interacts with the money market to shape the macroeconomic equilibrium that determines income, interest rate, and exchange rate in the short run. • Understand the links between the short-run and long-run processes. • Assess the dynamic effects of macroeconomic policies and understand the roles of globalization, government policies, institutions, and expectations in macroeconomic outcomes. This course is part of the iMBA offered by the University of Illinois, a flexible, fully-accredited online MBA at an incredibly competitive price. For more information, please see the Resource page in this course and onlinemba.illinois.edu.

国家/地区级经济学:政策,制度和宏观经济绩效:本课程根据经济的制度和政策环境检查短期和长期的宏观经济绩效。第一个模块在短期内建立了宏观经济模型,即价格水平有其自身的动量并且对供求力反应不大。通过该模型,可以查看短期内如何确定GDP,利率和汇率,以及它们如何应对宏观经济冲击和政策。 第二个模块通过检查外汇市场开始长期均衡分析。然后,它将长期结果与对每时每刻的汇率未来趋势的预期联系起来,这构成了短期即期汇率的关键驱动因素。为此目的而开发的方法也可以应用于关于其他宏观经济变量的预期。最后,长期汇率模型被用来为各国货币价值和生产者竞争力的长期趋势提供许多重要的经验教训。 第三个模块检查了长期总产出的驱动因素以及从短期到长期的调整机制。该模型提供了关于为什么一些国家比其他国家富裕得多以及为什么一些经济体在几十年中比其他国家更快增长的见解。该分析还揭示了为何通货膨胀在不同国家之间或同一国家随时间变化的原因。该模型用于分析宏观经济不稳定的根源以及财政和货币政策在稳定或破坏宏观经济中的作用。 最后一个模块讨论了理想的宏观经济政策的特征以及实际政策偏离这些政策的原因。它将这些偏差与评估一个国家的长期宏观经济环境时需要考虑的国家特征联系起来。该模块最后讨论有助于实现更好的财政和货币政策的体制条件。 在本课程结束时,您将能够: •了解总商品和服务的市场如何与货币市场互动,以塑造宏观经济平衡,该平衡在短期内决定收入,利率和汇率。 •了解短期和长期流程之间的联系。 •评估宏观经济政策的动态影响,并了解全球化,政府政策,机构和期望在宏观经济成果中的作用。 本课程是伊利诺伊大学提供的iMBA的一部分,该大学是一种灵活且获得完全认可的在线MBA,其价格极具竞争力。有关更多信息,请参见本课程中的“资源”页面和onlinemba.illinois.edu。

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