Linear Regression for Business Statistics

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Rice University

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Regression Analysis is perhaps the single most important Business Statistics tool used in the industry. Regression is the engine behind a multitude of data analytics applications used for many forms of forecasting and prediction. This is the fourth course in the specialization, "Business Statistics and Analysis". The course introduces you to the very important tool known as Linear Regression. You will learn to apply various procedures such as dummy variable regressions, transforming variables, and interaction effects. All these are introduced and explained using easy to understand examples in Microsoft Excel. The focus of the course is on understanding and application, rather than detailed mathematical derivations. Note: This course uses the ‘Data Analysis’ tool box which is standard with the Windows version of Microsoft Excel. It is also standard with the 2016 or later Mac version of Excel. However, it is not standard with earlier versions of Excel for Mac. WEEK 1 Module 1: Regression Analysis: An Introduction In this module you will get introduced to the Linear Regression Model. We will build a regression model and estimate it using Excel. We will use the estimated model to infer relationships between various variables and use the model to make predictions. The module also introduces the notion of errors, residuals and R-square in a regression model. Topics covered include: • Introducing the Linear Regression • Building a Regression Model and estimating it using Excel • Making inferences using the estimated model • Using the Regression model to make predictions • Errors, Residuals and R-square WEEK 2 Module 2: Regression Analysis: Hypothesis Testing and Goodness of Fit This module presents different hypothesis tests you could do using the Regression output. These tests are an important part of inference and the module introduces them using Excel based examples. The p-values are introduced along with goodness of fit measures R-square and the adjusted R-square. Towards the end of module we introduce the ‘Dummy variable regression’ which is used to incorporate categorical variables in a regression. Topics covered include: • Hypothesis testing in a Linear Regression • ‘Goodness of Fit’ measures (R-square, adjusted R-square) • Dummy variable Regression (using Categorical variables in a Regression) WEEK 3 Module 3: Regression Analysis: Dummy Variables, Multicollinearity This module continues with the application of Dummy variable Regression. You get to understand the interpretation of Regression output in the presence of categorical variables. Examples are worked out to re-inforce various concepts introduced. The module also explains what is Multicollinearity and how to deal with it. Topics covered include: • Dummy variable Regression (using Categorical variables in a Regression) • Interpretation of coefficients and p-values in the presence of Dummy variables • Multicollinearity in Regression Models WEEK 4 Module 4: Regression Analysis: Various Extensions The module extends your understanding of the Linear Regression, introducing techniques such as mean-centering of variables and building confidence bounds for predictions using the Regression model. A powerful regression extension known as ‘Interaction variables’ is introduced and explained using examples. We also study the transformation of variables in a regression and in that context introduce the log-log and the semi-log regression models. Topics covered include: • Mean centering of variables in a Regression model • Building confidence bounds for predictions using a Regression model • Interaction effects in a Regression • Transformation of variables • The log-log and semi-log regression models

用于业务统计的线性回归:回归分析也许是业内使用的最重要的业务统计工具。回归是用于多种形式的预测和预测的大量数据分析应用程序背后的引擎。 这是该专业的第四门课程,“业务统计与分析”。本课程向您介绍了非常重要的工具,称为线性回归。您将学习如何应用各种过程,例如虚拟变量回归,转换变量和交互作用。所有这些都是使用Microsoft Excel中易于理解的示例进行介绍和解释的。 本课程的重点是理解和应用,而不是详细的数学推导。 注意:本课程使用Windows版本的Microsoft Excel的“数据分析”工具框。它也是2016年或更高版本的Excel的标准版本。但是,对于Mac的早期版本的Excel,这不是标准的。 第1周 模块1:回归分析:简介 在本模块中,您将了解线性回归模型。我们将建立回归模型并使用Excel进行估算。我们将使用估计的模型来推断各种变量之间的关系,并使用该模型进行预测。该模块还在回归模型中引入了误差,残差和R平方的概念。 涵盖的主题包括: •引入线性回归 •建立回归模型并使用Excel进行估算 •使用估计的模型进行推断 •使用回归模型进行预测 •错误,残差和R平方   第2周 模块2:回归分析:假设检验和拟合优度 本模块介绍您可以使用回归输出执行的不同假设检验。这些测试是推理的重要部分,并且该模块使用基于Excel的示例对其进行了介绍。引入p值以及拟合度R平方和调整后的R平方的优度。在模块末尾,我们介绍了“虚拟变量回归”,该模型用于将分类变量合并到回归中。 涵盖的主题包括: •线性回归中的假设检验 •“拟合优度”度量(R平方,调整后的R平方) •虚拟变量回归(在回归中使用分类变量)   第3周 模块3:回归分析:虚拟变量,多重共线性 该模块将继续应用虚拟变量回归。您将了解在存在分类变量的情况下对回归输出的解释。列举了一些例子以加强所引入的各种概念。该模块还解释了什么是多重共线性以及如何处理它。 涵盖的主题包括: •虚拟变量回归(在回归中使用分类变量) •在虚拟变量存在的情况下解释系数和p值 •回归模型中的多重共线性   第4周 模块4:回归分析:各种扩展 该模块扩展了您对线性回归的理解,介绍了诸如变量均值居中和使用回归模型为预测建立置信范围之类的技术。介绍了一个强大的回归扩展,称为“交互变量”,并通过示例进行了说明。我们还研究了回归中变量的转换,并在此背景下介绍了对数对数和半对数回归模型。 涵盖的主题包括: •回归模型中变量的平均居中 •使用回归模型建立预测的置信范围 •回归中的交互作用 •变量的转换 •对数对数和半对数回归模型

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