Forecasting Skills: See the Future Before it Happens

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课程主页: https://www.coursera.org/archive/forecasting-skills

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课程大纲

Introduction to Future Forecasting
How to Create a Future Forecast
How to Write a Future Scenario
How to Update Your Forecasts

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For many people, the future comes as a surprise – or even a shock. But with strong forecasting skills, YOU can avoid future shock. You can adapt faster, and become better prepared to benefit from change. In this course, you’ll build your future forecasting skills. You'll learn how to turn groups of "signals" (clues about the future) and "drivers" (global forces that influence the direction of change) into compelling future forecasts. Forecasts help you discover new possibilities and opportunities for yourself, your company, or any community you want to inspire to make a better future. You'll also learn how to write future scenarios. Scenarios take forecasts one step further. They spark imagination and tell a story about what might happen if a forecast comes true. Scenarios help you evaluate: Is this a future I'm ready for? Is this a future I want? Leading futurists from the Institute for the Future will show you exactly how it's done. They'll share with you the forecasts and scenarios they’re most excited about right now, and walk you through the key steps they took to create them. Then, it's your turn! You'll create a forecast and a scenario on any future topic you choose. How will you benefit from taking this course? With strong forecasting skills, you'll get better at seeing the future before it happens. You'll be ready to consider possibilities that others never see coming or refuse to accept. You'll be able to help others prepare for and adapt to the future. You can decide which futures you want to make more likely, and which futures you want to prevent. Many thanks to the Enlight Foundation and the Enlight Collaborative, which provided a grant to support the creation of this course.

预测技能:在发生之前看到未来:对于许多人来说,未来是一个惊喜,甚至是震惊。但是,凭借强大的预测能力,您可以避免以后的震惊。您可以更快地适应,并为从变化中受益做好更充分的准备。 在本课程中,您将建立自己的未来预测技能。您将学习如何将一组“信号”(有关未来的线索)和“驱动程序”(影响变化方向的全球力量)转变为引人注目的未来预测。预测可以帮助您发现自己,您的公司或您想要激发更美好未来的任何社区的新机遇和机会。 您还将学习如何编写未来的方案。场景使预测更进一步。他们激发了想象力,并讲述了一个预测成真可能发生的故事。方案可帮助您评估:这是我准备好的未来吗?这是我想要的未来吗? 来自未来研究所的领先未来学家将向您确切演示它的完成方式。他们将与您分享他们现在最兴奋的预测和方案,并引导您完成创建它们的关键步骤。然后,该你了!您将针对所选的任何未来主题创建预测和方案。 您会从此课程中受益吗?凭借强大的预测能力,您会更好地了解未来。您将准备考虑其他人从未见过或拒绝接受的可能性。您将能够帮助他人为未来做准备并适应未来。您可以决定要使哪些期货更有可能,以及要阻止哪些期货。 非常感谢Enlight基金会和Enlight协作组织,它们提供了资助以支持本课程的创建。

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