Risk, Return and Valuation

所在平台: Coursera

课程主页: https://www.coursera.org/learn/risk-return-valuation

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课程简介

课程名称:风险、收益与估值 概述:该课程是“社会企业生命周期的战略与金融”专业化中的一部分,后续将有一个基于项目的课程,重点在于理解和评估旨在解决社会问题的商业模式。现代决策框架的美在于它能在不同层面上理解价值创造——无论是个人、企业还是社会。然而,随着视角的扩大,从个人到企业再到全球社会,应用会变得越来越复杂。现代决策的两个基础是时间价值与风险,因为所有决策都对未来产生影响,而未来本质上是不确定的。因此,深入理解时间和风险的价值对于理解价值创造至关重要。 本课程是对决策第二个基础:风险与收益的介绍。我们不仅介绍风险和收益,还结合前面三门课程中关于时间价值和现金流的理解,对项目和公司的价值进行评估。 课程大纲: 第一部分:社会企业的必要性及其价值,复杂性与挑战。该部分旨在帮助有意从事社会企业工作或创造社会企业的人,理解现代框架和工具如何为个人、企业和社会企业创造价值。社会企业解决问题的复杂性要求对现代框架和工具的深入理解。 第二部分:专业化与课程概述。这一模块包含详细的视频和大纲,使学习者能够掌握现代金融的强大工具,应用于个人、公司和社会企业的决策中。 第三部分:风险、收益与估值。该课程讨论在所有前面课程中使用的折现率的确定。我们将尝试理解人类对风险的感知,并制定一种强大而直观的测量方法。 第四部分:多样化与资本资产定价模型(CAPM)。我们将介绍现代金融最强大且直观的模型——资本资产定价模型(CAPM),作为理解风险与收益关系的基础。 第五部分:杠杆、加权平均资本成本(WACC)与估值。我们将理解在公司同时拥有股权和债务的情况下的折现率,并评估债务对股东的影响,发展加权平均资本成本(WACC)。 第六部分:综合应用!这是本课程和专业化的最后模块,我们将通过真实世界的案例和最终作业来评估学员的综合能力。 通过本课程的学习,学员将在识别和创造社会价值方面获得深刻的见解,并掌握适用于任何商业环境的分析工具。

课程大纲

Part: 1

Title:Module 1: The Need for, and the Value of, Social Business and the Complexity and the Challenges of Creating Them

Description:The Specialization is part of a program designed for an audience interested in working for, or creating, social businesses and anyone who wants to use modern frameworks and tools to understand how value is created for an individual, a company and social business. Since social businesses take on inherently more complex missions - by design, they are set up to address social issues - the task of understanding and evaluating opportunities aimed at addressing social issues requires a deeper understanding of the strengths and weaknesses of modern frameworks and tools. Arguably, all businesses try and impact society. This is the main reason why the Specialization has both analytical rigor and real-world applicability. My hope is that by the end of the Specialization we will be ready to evaluate, understand, and even create social businesses. This is a journey that will start with value to an individual and then gradually understand value created by regular businesses and, finally, tackle value creation by a social business. We will however not wait till the end of the Specialization to start thinking seriously about how social businesses are distinct from regular businesses. The good news is that you have already been exposed to a great course on social business – with world-known experts sharing their views, followed by an engaging and framework-based approach to consider how to identify a social problem and then develop an approach to addressing it using a multi-stakeholder approach. To motivate folks to understand the complexity of evaluating a social business, I will start by sharing some publicly available articles on what popular thinking is about social business, on how to measure social value and some real-world examples. I will do so gradually over the four courses, without testing, but with reflection exercises built in at the beginning and the end of each course. I have managed the Social Venture Fund (SVF) at the University of Michigan for over a decade now and we evaluate and invest in social businesses. I also recently launched the International Investment Fund (IIF) in India that evaluates, supports and invests in small- and medium-sized businesses. I will share cases written by me and my students related to this work, but please do not distribute them. The purpose of the reflection exercises is meant for you to gradually gain exposure to the complexities of social businesses and measuring social value. You are not expected to be able to value the businesses described in the cases, but to keep them in mind and reflect on the frameworks and tools you are introduced to and their applicability to decision-making in social businesses. While you will not be tested on specifics in the reflection portions of this Specialization, maintaining a personal journal on important issues throughout the Specialization will really help so you prepare for the challenging work on the project on a social business following successful completion of the Specialization. You will hopefully realize that the framework and tools provided in the Specialization will not only help you in any business, but also are the same for a social business. You will hopefully realize that, at the end of the day, it is all about intent and what you produce/provide and to whom and how. And what is readily measurable and verifiable may be one of the key differences between a regular and a truly social business – everything, eventually, is about quantity times price of what you have to offer. Most businesses focus on producing goods and services that have readily available markets and therefore prices. Perhaps the key difference in understanding and managing a social business versus a regular business is its focus on issues beyond an individual and a desire to provide goods and services that are not priced and therefore rewarded by free markets because they benefit society and cannot be captured by corporations. This, in turn, makes a social business all the more challenging to create and manage.

Part: 2

Title:Module 2: Overview of Specialization & Course

Description:This module contains detailed videos and syllabi of both the Specialization and the fourth course. This Specialization has been designed to enable you to learn and apply the powerful tools of modern finance to personal, corporate and social businesses. In fact, this frameworks and tools can be applied to decision-making in any context, including nonprofit and governmental initiatives to tackle the simplest to most challenging issues we confront individually or collectively. The courses within progress linearly and build on each other and it is important for you to get an understanding of why this Specialization may be relevant to any context. Please review the videos and syllabi as they will give you a sense of the Specialization and how this specific course fits within. My teaching style and philosophy are also presented to you (hopefully) in sufficient detail. I believe education is the key to addressing the challenges that we face across the globe. Most importantly, all this content is meant to give you enough information to enable you to make a decision about whether you want to take this Specialization, or this course by itself. To make sure you have the social lens in mind, we have also created a course that focuses on social business that you must take before this Specialization. This will hopefully make you think about what a social business looks like and, importantly, how it differs from standard business. A deeper realization of this can only occur when you are able to recognize how value is created by regular businesses. This will be a slow process that is hopefully already in motion and your understanding will deepen by the end of this course so that you are ready to work on a social business.

Part: 3

Title:Risk, Return and Valuation

Description:This course deals with the determination of the discount rate we have used in all previous courses to value projects, bonds and stocks. Combined with cash flows, the discount rate captures all aspects of financial valuation that is the main goal of this Specialization and course. In the first module, we will try and understand risk as perceived by humans and develop a measure that is powerful and intuitive. Since this topic requires both art and science of finance, we will have three assignments in this course.

Part: 4

Title:Diversification and CAPM

Description:During this module, we will introduce one of the most powerful and intuitive model of modern finance - the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) - that forms the basis of our understanding of the relation between risk and return.

Part: 5

Title:Leverage, WACC and Valuation

Description:In this module, we will understand the discount rate in a world where a company has both equity ad debt. This will require us to evaluate the impact of debt (also known as leverage) on the equity holders of the firm. We will develop the weighted average cost of capital. Finally, we will put together cash flows and WACC and get our first exposure to valuation with a full-blown application.

Part: 6

Title:Putting it All Together!

Description:This last module of this course and the Specialization. We therefore wrap things up by providing some real world twists and a final assignment that evaluates your ability to put everything together.

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课程详情

This course is part of a Specialization titled “Strategy and Finance for a Lifecycle of a Social Business”, with a follow-on project-based course on understanding and evaluating a business focused on addressing a societal issue. The beauty of a modern decision-making framework is that it can be used to understand value creation at any level – the individual or business or societal. The applications however become increasingly complex as your lens expands from the individual to the corporate/nonprofit to the global society. There are two building blocks of modern decision making – time value of money and risk. This is because all decisions are made with consequences for the future which, in turn is uncertain. A deep understanding of the value of time and risk is therefore key to understanding value creation. This course is an introduction to the second building block of decision-making: risk and return. We not only introduce risk and return, but also put together our understanding of time value of money and cash flows developed in the preceding three courses of this Specialization, to value projects and companies. As indicated at the outset, the beauty of modern frameworks and tools of analysis is that they are logical and do not change depending on the purpose of business. However, to demonstrate social impact is very complex because prices for both the public good, and any harm created by our actions, are not available. It is also very challenging to determine the incremental effect of a business on society at large. The combination of these issues makes all social impact and value specific to a business, making it even more important to use the same frameworks and tools developed in this Specialization to value any business.

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