Probability and Statistics: To p or not to p?

所在平台: Coursera

课程主页: https://www.coursera.org/learn/probability-statistics

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课程名称:概率与统计:选择与否? 课程概述:在复杂且充满不确定性的世界中,我们经常需要在面临未知未来结果的情况下做出决定。我们应该时刻警惕“黑天鹅”事件——即低概率但高影响的事件。课程探讨诸如学习、投资和婚姻等重要决策的思考方式。 尽管不确定性让决策变得困难,但也为生活增添了趣味!如果未来一切都是已知的,那么生活就失去了惊喜的元素,无论是美好的未来还是糟糕的未来。 本课程将介绍多种应对不确定性的方法,帮助我们做出更明智的决策,这将是终生受益的技能。 主要内容包括:通过概率量化不确定性;描述统计学;均值和比例的点估计与区间估计;假设检验的基础;以及多变量应用的关键术语和概念。 课程大纲: - 应对混乱世界中的不确定性与复杂性 - 用概率量化不确定性 - 用统计学描述世界 - 准备、开始、推断! - 选择与否? - 应用实例 该课程为学习者提供了扎实的统计基础,帮助他们在日常生活和职业中作出更好的决策。

课程大纲

Name:Dealing with Uncertainty and Complexity in a Chaotic World

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Name:Quantifying Uncertainty With Probability

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Name:Describing The World The Statistical Way

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Name:On Your Marks, Get Set, Infer!

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Name:To p Or Not To p?

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Name:Applications

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We live in an uncertain and complex world, yet we continually have to make decisions in the present with uncertain future outcomes. Indeed, we should be on the look-out for "black swans" - low-probability high-impact events. To study, or not to study? To invest, or not to invest? To marry, or not to marry? While uncertainty makes decision-making difficult, it does at least make life exciting! If the entire future was known in advance, there would never be an element of surprise. Whether a good future or a bad future, it would be a known future. In this course we consider many useful tools to deal with uncertainty and help us to make informed (and hence better) decisions - essential skills for a lifetime of good decision-making. Key topics include quantifying uncertainty with probability, descriptive statistics, point and interval estimation of means and proportions, the basics of hypothesis testing, and a selection of multivariate applications of key terms and concepts seen throughout the course.

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