The Impact of Technology

所在平台: Coursera

课程主页: https://www.coursera.org/learn/impact-of-technology

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课程简介

课程名称:技术的影响 概述: 在此课程中,您将学习如何运用理论和方法来预测新技术的潜在影响,既包括一般性的影响,也包括特定应用场景。此课程将为您面对社会变革做好准备,帮助您充分利用由技术驱动的转型。课程采用广泛的方法,结合社会和经济因素,涵盖历史实例,并帮助您识别反复出现的模式与周期。课程内容包括一般创新理论、预见方法、价值链的颠覆以及战略。 学习流程如下:首先,您将学习如何绘制潜在未来商业格局图。接着,识别新兴价值网络中的有趣商业角色。最后,我们将寻找从当前状态到理想状态的路径。您将分析在未来10到20年内,若充分实施今天可用的技术,行业或市场可能如何改变。此外,您还将识别此类发展中的障碍,并对时间进行估算。 课程中包含多个作业以促进学习,其中一些是必修的。最大的作业涉及自动驾驶汽车的引入。 尽管未来无法完全详细预测,但课程中提出的方法将帮助您识别潜在后果。因此,您将获得在技术、投资、职业路径、研究与开发或投资组合管理等领域做决策所需的工具。 课程大纲: 1. **欢迎来到技术的影响** - 简介模块,提供课程概况、整体流程描述、历史实例及作业介绍。 2. **理论与模型 - 实际应用** - 包括三项关键的创新理论,帮助估计技术影响,并在课程结束时拓宽视角。 3. **技术差距与障碍** - 了解新旧技术的差距及其对实施的障碍,分析Gartner炒作周期、重大趋势和行业转型。 4. **预见** - 介绍预见和逆向预测的方法,并通过一个互动的逆向预测案例深入学习。 5. **价值网络** - 新技术如何打破现有价值网络,涵盖价值网络基础知识,并练习预测潜在的新价值网络角色与结构。 6. **商业角色与创意** - 深入研究价值网络中的角色,分析其关系和依赖性,学习如何评估、选择及发展感兴趣的角色。 7. **战略** - 确定潜在角色后,了解如何从当前状态转向理想状态,探讨技术实施对其影响的基础战略。 8. **结尾 - 技术的影响** - 课程结束视频和考试为最终环节。

课程大纲

Name:Welcome to The Impact of Technology

Description:Welcome to the course! We start with a short introduction module where you will get a general introduction, a description of the overall process we will follow, a historical example and an assignment. You will after this module have a good general overview of the course and knowledge about what you will learn and what to expect.

Name:Theory and models - practical use

Description:Relevant theories will help us in estimating the impact of technology. In this module three key innovation theories are included and by the end a more broad perspective is introduced.

Name:Technology delta and barriers

Description:When estimating the potential impact of a technology, it is essential to understand the technology delta: How much better is the new technology and is this delta significant enough to overcome the barriers to implementation and realise its full potential? We will in this module look at both the technology delta and the barriers to implementation. Supporting this analysis, the Gartner hype cycle, megatrends and industry transformation are given special attention.

Name:Foresight

Description:Foresight in general, and backcasting in particular, is included in this module. After a general overview this module is built around one interactive sequential backcasting case.

Name:Value networks

Description:Technologies with a significant impact put existing value networks out of balance. New value networks are emerging around new technologies. This module covers value networks basics and let's you practice how to predict potential new value network roles and structures.

Name:Business roles and ideas

Description:Roles within value networks are further studied in this module. The role, its relationships and dependencies are analyzed. You will learn how to assess, chose and develop a, for you, interesting value network role.

Name:Strategy

Description:It's not enough to identify potential roles, we also need to know how to get from where we are today to a desired position. The impact of a technology depends on how it is implemented. This module gives you some basic insights regarding strategy and what to consider regarding its formulation and implementation.

Name:Finale - The Impact of Technology

Description:We have come to the end of the course. This video and the exam are the final elements included.

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In this course, you will learn how to use theories and methods to make predictions of the potential impact of new technology – in general, as well as for a specific application. This will prepare you for the changes that we are facing in society, and also help you take advantage of transformations that are driven by technology. The Impact of Technology course takes a broad approach, including social and economic factors. You will study historical examples and learn to recognize recurring patterns and cycles. The curriculum includes general innovation theories, foresight methodology, value chain disruption, and strategy. The general process is as follows. First, you to learn how to draw a map of the potential future business landscape. After that, you get to identify interesting future business roles in emerging value networks. Finally, we find a path from where we are today to a desired end state. You will analyze how an industry or market may change if the technology which is available today is fully implemented in a 10 to 20-year perspective. In addition, you will identify barriers to such a development and make estimates regarding the timing. The course includes a number of assignments to facilitate your learning – some of them compulsory. The largest assignment is about the introduction of self-driving cars (hence the course icon; source and credit to Google). We all know that the future can’t be fully predicted in detail. However, the methods presented in this course will help you identify potential consequences. In this way, you will get a toolbox for decision-making in the areas of technology, investments, career path, research & development, or portfolio management.

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